Market Update Andrew Shouse December 4, 2025
The 2025–2026 season is shaping up to be one of the most balanced markets we’ve seen in years. Prices are stable, buyers are active again, and inventory is still rising — creating both opportunities and pressure, depending on which side of the table you’re on.
Below is a clear, data-backed breakdown of what this market means for buyers, sellers, and short-term rental property owners.
If you’ve been waiting for the market to “cool down,” this is your moment — but it’s not a crash, and it’s not likely to become one.
Detached and attached home values across the Valley are still well above pre-pandemic levels but below the peak of 2022:
Detached: down 8–21% from 2022 highs depending on city (Palm Springs down 21.6%, Indian Wells down 1.8%, etc.).
Attached: down 9–24% from 2022 highs depending on city.
Detached median: $644,776 (–0.8% YoY)
Attached median: $419,000 (–6.3% YoY)
This softening gives buyers a bit more power — but NOT the deep discounts people hoped for in 2023.
3,342 homes for sale, up 4.9% year-over-year.
Palm Desert, Palm Springs, and La Quinta now offer the widest selection of inventory in years.
This is the moment to make a thoughtful move. Prices aren’t spiraling down, but you do have more negotiating room — especially on properties that are dated, overpriced, or have been sitting on the market longer than 45 days.
If you’re waiting for a sign, this is it.
Homes are selling — and in most cities, they’re selling faster than people expect — but buyers are more selective.
Detached homes are down from peak values in every major city:
Palm Springs: –21.6% from 2022 high
La Quinta: –8.1%
Rancho Mirage: –6.9%
Palm Desert: –11.7%
Attached homes show similar adjustments.
This doesn’t mean property values are falling now — it simply means the pandemic surge has normalized.
Price changes YoY reflect a steady, non-dramatic market:
Detached: –0.8%
Attached: –6.3%
Your equity is still strong — especially if you bought before 2020.
Average selling time is now in the 50–60 day range throughout the Valley.
In several cities, even faster:
Indian Wells: 46 days
Cathedral City: 47 days
If your home is priced accurately and shows well, it will sell.
If it’s overpriced… buyers will simply choose your competitor.
Strategic pricing is your biggest advantage — and that’s exactly where I come in.
Whether you’re holding, optimizing income, or considering an exit, STR owners are in a unique position this season.
Most STR-friendly cities (Palm Springs, La Quinta, Palm Desert) show:
Detached values down 8–23% from 2022
Attached values down 10–20% from 2022
This matters for anyone evaluating equity or timing a sale.
Typical YoY changes range from:
Detached: –1% to –5% depending on city
Attached: –4% to –15% depending on city
STR owners are not facing a collapse — just a rebalancing.
Cities with the highest STR concentration also have high inventory:
Palm Springs: 695 homes
Palm Desert: 719 homes
La Quinta: 451 homes
When more homes hit the market, buyers get picky. Income history, pool upgrades, and condition matter more than ever.
While no major changes have passed yet, all three primary STR cities continue to monitor TOT performance and compliance trends. Owners should stay ready for adjustments in 2026.
Whether holding or selling, you need:
A valuation model based on income, not just comps.
A strategy for timing the market around seasonal demand.
Awareness of policy shifts that could affect future revenue.
I can prepare that full analysis for you whenever you're ready.
If you'd like a FREE consultation from a market expert, contact me here!
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